Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 5.1%
Eduardo Girão 2.8%
$55,551 Vol.
$55,551 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Camilo Santana
5%
Eduardo Girão
3%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 5.1%
Eduardo Girão 2.8%
$55,551 Vol.
$55,551 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 Vol.
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,390 Vol.
28%
Camilo Santana
$3,305 Vol.
5%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 Vol.
3%
Capitão Wagner
$4,334 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$55,551Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$55,551Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from April and May 2026, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions, driven by Gomes’s established name recognition as a former Ceará governor and his public confirmation that he will focus exclusively on the state contest rather than a national bid. Traders have priced this polling advantage into the market, assigning Gomes the clearest path to victory on October 4, 2026, while Freitas’s reelection bid faces headwinds from voter preference for the challenger. Lower-probability candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio remain on the ballot but show minimal support in the same surveys, leaving the race centered on the Gomes-Freitas matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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