Recent polling data from surveys such as Genial/Quaest and Datafolha show Ciro Gomes holding a clear lead over incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026, Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting broad name recognition from his prior terms as governor and national profile. Trader consensus in the market assigns Ciro Gomes the highest probability, consistent with these trends and recent announcements of party support including from the PL. Elmano de Freitas maintains a solid but trailing position as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking reelection, while lower-probability outcomes such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in available surveys. Key factors include the open first-round dynamics, high undecided voter shares, and potential for coalition alignments ahead of any runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 5.1%
Eduardo Girão 2.7%
$55,551 Vol.
$55,551 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
67%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Camilo Santana
5%
Eduardo Girão
3%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 67%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 5.1%
Eduardo Girão 2.7%
$55,551 Vol.
$55,551 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 Vol.
67%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,390 Vol.
28%
Camilo Santana
$3,305 Vol.
5%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 Vol.
3%
Capitão Wagner
$4,334 Vol.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling data from surveys such as Genial/Quaest and Datafolha show Ciro Gomes holding a clear lead over incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026, Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting broad name recognition from his prior terms as governor and national profile. Trader consensus in the market assigns Ciro Gomes the highest probability, consistent with these trends and recent announcements of party support including from the PL. Elmano de Freitas maintains a solid but trailing position as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking reelection, while lower-probability outcomes such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in available surveys. Key factors include the open first-round dynamics, high undecided voter shares, and potential for coalition alignments ahead of any runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$55,551Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling data from surveys such as Genial/Quaest and Datafolha show Ciro Gomes holding a clear lead over incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026, Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting broad name recognition from his prior terms as governor and national profile. Trader consensus in the market assigns Ciro Gomes the highest probability, consistent with these trends and recent announcements of party support including from the PL. Elmano de Freitas maintains a solid but trailing position as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking reelection, while lower-probability outcomes such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in available surveys. Key factors include the open first-round dynamics, high undecided voter shares, and potential for coalition alignments ahead of any runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$55,551Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling data from surveys such as Genial/Quaest and Datafolha show Ciro Gomes holding a clear lead over incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026, Ceará gubernatorial election, reflecting broad name recognition from his prior terms as governor and national profile. Trader consensus in the market assigns Ciro Gomes the highest probability, consistent with these trends and recent announcements of party support including from the PL. Elmano de Freitas maintains a solid but trailing position as the Workers’ Party candidate seeking reelection, while lower-probability outcomes such as Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in available surveys. Key factors include the open first-round dynamics, high undecided voter shares, and potential for coalition alignments ahead of any runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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