Current forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Moscow today, driven by persistent cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow, and limited solar heating under a stable air mass. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 19–21°C absent strong advection. Trader consensus at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of any recent warming signals from upstream pressure patterns. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected ridge strengthens, allowing clearer skies and a 2–3°C boost by afternoon, though ensemble spreads show low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$57,347 Vol.
$57,347 Vol.
16 mai 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$57,347 Vol.
$57,347 Vol.
16 mai 2026
20°C
$9,290 Vol.
100%
21°C
$4,818 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,309 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$8,418 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Moscow today, driven by persistent cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow, and limited solar heating under a stable air mass. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 19–21°C absent strong advection. Trader consensus at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of any recent warming signals from upstream pressure patterns. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected ridge strengthens, allowing clearer skies and a 2–3°C boost by afternoon, though ensemble spreads show low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$57,347Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Moscow today, driven by persistent cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow, and limited solar heating under a stable air mass. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 19–21°C absent strong advection. Trader consensus at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of any recent warming signals from upstream pressure patterns. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected ridge strengthens, allowing clearer skies and a 2–3°C boost by afternoon, though ensemble spreads show low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,347Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current forecast models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles converge on a daily maximum near 20°C in Moscow today, driven by persistent cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly flow, and limited solar heating under a stable air mass. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover around 19–21°C absent strong advection. Trader consensus at 100% for the 20°C outcome reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of any recent warming signals from upstream pressure patterns. A realistic shift could occur only if an unexpected ridge strengthens, allowing clearer skies and a 2–3°C boost by afternoon, though ensemble spreads show low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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