National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological setup explains the dominant 76-77°F market-implied probability at 89.5%, as temperatures are expected to peak modestly above seasonal norms without reaching the 80°F threshold. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around this narrow range, with only minor upward revisions possible from localized urban heat effects or slight wind shifts. Forecasters anticipate official LaGuardia Airport observations will resolve the market by evening, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 88%
78-79°F 8%
80-81°F 4.3%
84°F or higher <1%
$120,843 Vol.
$120,843 Vol.
16 mai 2026
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
88%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 88%
78-79°F 8%
80-81°F 4.3%
84°F or higher <1%
$120,843 Vol.
$120,843 Vol.
16 mai 2026
74-75°F
$12,151 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$21,215 Vol.
88%
78-79°F
$12,375 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$15,308 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$17,676 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,710 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological setup explains the dominant 76-77°F market-implied probability at 89.5%, as temperatures are expected to peak modestly above seasonal norms without reaching the 80°F threshold. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around this narrow range, with only minor upward revisions possible from localized urban heat effects or slight wind shifts. Forecasters anticipate official LaGuardia Airport observations will resolve the market by evening, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$120,843Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological setup explains the dominant 76-77°F market-implied probability at 89.5%, as temperatures are expected to peak modestly above seasonal norms without reaching the 80°F threshold. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around this narrow range, with only minor upward revisions possible from localized urban heat effects or slight wind shifts. Forecasters anticipate official LaGuardia Airport observations will resolve the market by evening, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$120,843Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This meteorological setup explains the dominant 76-77°F market-implied probability at 89.5%, as temperatures are expected to peak modestly above seasonal norms without reaching the 80°F threshold. Recent model consistency has reinforced trader consensus around this narrow range, with only minor upward revisions possible from localized urban heat effects or slight wind shifts. Forecasters anticipate official LaGuardia Airport observations will resolve the market by evening, aligning closely with climatological averages for mid-May.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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