National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus positions the 76-77°F outcome as the clear market leader at 87.5% implied probability. The ridge suppresses cloud cover and moisture advection, limiting upward temperature deviations while historical May climatology for the region supports highs in the mid-70s as typical under similar synoptic patterns. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities assigned to 78-79°F and warmer bins, with any late-day mixing or localized heating unlikely to push readings into those ranges based on current observational trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 84%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 5.3%
84°F or higher <1%
$123,006 Vol.
$123,006 Vol.
16 mai 2026
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
84%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 84%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 5.3%
84°F or higher <1%
$123,006 Vol.
$123,006 Vol.
16 mai 2026
74-75°F
$12,156 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$22,603 Vol.
84%
78-79°F
$13,322 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$16,411 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$19,015 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,738 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus positions the 76-77°F outcome as the clear market leader at 87.5% implied probability. The ridge suppresses cloud cover and moisture advection, limiting upward temperature deviations while historical May climatology for the region supports highs in the mid-70s as typical under similar synoptic patterns. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities assigned to 78-79°F and warmer bins, with any late-day mixing or localized heating unlikely to push readings into those ranges based on current observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$123,006Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus positions the 76-77°F outcome as the clear market leader at 87.5% implied probability. The ridge suppresses cloud cover and moisture advection, limiting upward temperature deviations while historical May climatology for the region supports highs in the mid-70s as typical under similar synoptic patterns. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities assigned to 78-79°F and warmer bins, with any late-day mixing or localized heating unlikely to push readings into those ranges based on current observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$123,006Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service ensemble guidance and recent GFS-ECMWF model runs project a daytime high near 77°F for New York City on May 16 under a building high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus positions the 76-77°F outcome as the clear market leader at 87.5% implied probability. The ridge suppresses cloud cover and moisture advection, limiting upward temperature deviations while historical May climatology for the region supports highs in the mid-70s as typical under similar synoptic patterns. Minor model spread accounts for the small probabilities assigned to 78-79°F and warmer bins, with any late-day mixing or localized heating unlikely to push readings into those ranges based on current observational trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes