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Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul

Delcidio Amaral 45%

Daniel Lemes 44%

Économiste Renato Gomes 44%

Fábio Trad 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Delcidio Amaral 45%

Daniel Lemes 44%

Économiste Renato Gomes 44%

Fábio Trad 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Delcidio Amaral

Delcidio Amaral

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Daniel Lemes

Daniel Lemes

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Économiste Renato Gomes

Économiste Renato Gomes

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Fábio Trad

Fábio Trad

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Jeferson Bezerra

Jeferson Bezerra

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for João Henrique Catan

João Henrique Catan

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Eduardo Riedel

Eduardo Riedel

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Lucien Rezende

Lucien Rezende

$0 Vol.

43%

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul seeking reelection in the October 4, 2026, contest, anchors trader focus amid a crowded field that includes challengers such as Fábio Trad, Delcidio Amaral, and others. Recent polling averages place Riedel ahead in runoff scenarios, yet the market's clustered pricing around 44-50% across numerous named and placeholder outcomes reflects a fragmented electorate, limited differentiation on key state issues like agriculture, infrastructure, and fiscal management, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements this close to the vote. Traders price in ongoing uncertainty over turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and potential late shifts in voter preferences typical of Brazilian state races.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent PP governor of Mato Grosso do Sul seeking reelection in the October 4, 2026, contest, anchors trader focus amid a crowded field that includes challengers such as Fábio Trad, Delcidio Amaral, and others. Recent polling averages place Riedel ahead in runoff scenarios, yet the market's clustered pricing around 44-50% across numerous named and placeholder outcomes reflects a fragmented electorate, limited differentiation on key state issues like agriculture, infrastructure, and fiscal management, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements this close to the vote. Traders price in ongoing uncertainty over turnout patterns, coalition alignments, and potential late shifts in voter preferences typical of Brazilian state races.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Doutora Natasha va-t-elle gagner l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Mato Grosso en 2026 ?

Doutora Natasha va-t-elle gagner l'élection au poste de gouverneur du Mato Grosso en 2026 ?

45%
Oui
icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Beto do Movimento remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

Beto do Movimento remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

44%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Delcidio Amaral » à 45%, suivi de « Daniel Lemes » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » est « Delcidio Amaral » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Daniel Lemes » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Mato Grosso do Sul » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.