Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place among the main coalition partners from the outgoing government. The National Rally of Independents (RNI) holds a leading position in trader pricing for second, while the Istiqlal Party (PI) and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) sit close behind, reflecting their similar 2021 seat totals and shared governing record. The Justice and Development Party (PJD) trails further back after its sharp decline in the prior cycle. With limited public polling and a brief campaign window focused on employment and purchasing power, traders see few catalysts yet capable of separating the contenders. Low expected turnout and the multi-member list system further compress differences among established parties, keeping second-place probabilities clustered until results begin to emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRNI 41%
PAM 24%
PI 23.1%
PJD 18.8%
$32,511 Vol.
$32,511 Vol.

RNI
41%

PAM
24%

PI
23%

PJD
19%

UC
1%

MP
1%

USFP
1%

PPS
<1%
RNI 41%
PAM 24%
PI 23.1%
PJD 18.8%
$32,511 Vol.
$32,511 Vol.

RNI
41%

PAM
24%

PI
23%

PJD
19%

UC
1%

MP
1%

USFP
1%

PPS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place among the main coalition partners from the outgoing government. The National Rally of Independents (RNI) holds a leading position in trader pricing for second, while the Istiqlal Party (PI) and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) sit close behind, reflecting their similar 2021 seat totals and shared governing record. The Justice and Development Party (PJD) trails further back after its sharp decline in the prior cycle. With limited public polling and a brief campaign window focused on employment and purchasing power, traders see few catalysts yet capable of separating the contenders. Low expected turnout and the multi-member list system further compress differences among established parties, keeping second-place probabilities clustered until results begin to emerge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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