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icon for Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place

icon for Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place

Eduardo Gomes 82%

Alexandre Guimarães 14.3%

Gaguim 1.0%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$27,167 Vol.

Eduardo Gomes 82%

Alexandre Guimarães 14.3%

Gaguim 1.0%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$27,167 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$15,769 Vol.

82%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$2,431 Vol.

14%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$1,517 Vol.

1%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$774 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$819 Vol.

<1%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$762 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$791 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$811 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Tocantins' October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates from a field of 13 registered contenders. Surveys from mid-September, including Real Time Big Data and Veritá, show him ahead at 25% and 43.1% (combined valid votes) respectively, well ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others such as Gaguim (União), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. This positioning reflects Gomes' established name recognition and consistent advantage across multiple institutes since June, amid a fragmented race where no other candidate has consolidated strong support for the top spot. Trader consensus prices align with these patterns, assigning high implied probability to Gomes while assigning lower odds to challengers facing structural barriers in a single-round plurality system.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,167
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Tocantins' October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates from a field of 13 registered contenders. Surveys from mid-September, including Real Time Big Data and Veritá, show him ahead at 25% and 43.1% (combined valid votes) respectively, well ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others such as Gaguim (União), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), who trail in the low-to-mid teens or below. This positioning reflects Gomes' established name recognition and consistent advantage across multiple institutes since June, amid a fragmented race where no other candidate has consolidated strong support for the top spot. Trader consensus prices align with these patterns, assigning high implied probability to Gomes while assigning lower odds to challengers facing structural barriers in a single-round plurality system.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,167
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Gaguim remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Tocantins en 2026 ?

Gaguim remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Tocantins en 2026 ?

44%
Oui
icon for Michelle Bolsonaro remportera-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

Michelle Bolsonaro remportera-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

91%
Oui
icon for Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

63%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo Gomes » à 82%, suivi de « Alexandre Guimarães » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 82¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » a généré $27.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » est « Eduardo Gomes » à 82%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Alexandre Guimarães » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.