Québec Solidaire maintains several competitive ridings on Montreal’s island and in surrounding areas ahead of the October 5 election, including projected safe or likely seats such as Gouin and Mercier. Recent seat projections from aggregators place the party at roughly five seats with a range of two to ten, supported by approximately 9–10 percent of the provincial vote. QS holds 11 current MNAs and benefits from concentrated urban support that has historically translated into representation even during periods of lower overall polling. The campaign launch on August 27 has not altered these localized strengths, keeping the implied probability of winning at least one seat elevated in line with trader assessments of the party’s structural position in key districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
94% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
Oui
94% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 oct. 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains several competitive ridings on Montreal’s island and in surrounding areas ahead of the October 5 election, including projected safe or likely seats such as Gouin and Mercier. Recent seat projections from aggregators place the party at roughly five seats with a range of two to ten, supported by approximately 9–10 percent of the provincial vote. QS holds 11 current MNAs and benefits from concentrated urban support that has historically translated into representation even during periods of lower overall polling. The campaign launch on August 27 has not altered these localized strengths, keeping the implied probability of winning at least one seat elevated in line with trader assessments of the party’s structural position in key districts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$278Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains several competitive ridings on Montreal’s island and in surrounding areas ahead of the October 5 election, including projected safe or likely seats such as Gouin and Mercier. Recent seat projections from aggregators place the party at roughly five seats with a range of two to ten, supported by approximately 9–10 percent of the provincial vote. QS holds 11 current MNAs and benefits from concentrated urban support that has historically translated into representation even during periods of lower overall polling. The campaign launch on August 27 has not altered these localized strengths, keeping the implied probability of winning at least one seat elevated in line with trader assessments of the party’s structural position in key districts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$278Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Québec Solidaire maintains several competitive ridings on Montreal’s island and in surrounding areas ahead of the October 5 election, including projected safe or likely seats such as Gouin and Mercier. Recent seat projections from aggregators place the party at roughly five seats with a range of two to ten, supported by approximately 9–10 percent of the provincial vote. QS holds 11 current MNAs and benefits from concentrated urban support that has historically translated into representation even during periods of lower overall polling. The campaign launch on August 27 has not altered these localized strengths, keeping the implied probability of winning at least one seat elevated in line with trader assessments of the party’s structural position in key districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le Parti Québécois remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections générales du Québec de 2026 ?
70%
Oui
Le PQ remportera-t-il 65 à 69 sièges à l’Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
26%
Oui
La CAQ remportera-t-elle 10 à 14 sièges à l’Assemblée nationale du Québec lors de cette élection ?
37%
Oui
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