Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$54,476 Vol.
$54,476 Vol.
12 giu 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$54,476 Vol.
$54,476 Vol.
12 giu 2026
24°C or below
$631 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,731 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,043 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,738 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,251 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,726 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$8,007 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,803 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,088 Vol.
No
33°C
$663 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$795 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$54,476Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,476Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Reliable numerical weather prediction models, including those from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF, have converged on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Ankara for June 12 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Surface observations through midday confirm steady warming from overnight lows near 15–18°C, consistent with climatological norms for early June when solar insolation peaks and soil moisture remains moderate. This strong model consensus and real-time data alignment underpin the market's near-certain positioning at 29°C. A realistic shift could occur only if an unanticipated shortwave trough increases cloud cover or triggers convective cooling, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before peak heating.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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