Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lagos on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 Vol.
$40,908 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,908 Vol.
$40,908 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and primary Lagos stations, including Murtala Muhammed Airport and Oshodi, confirm a maximum surface temperature of 33°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with short-range forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted moderated highs amid increasing cloud cover and light showers signaling the early rainy season onset, capping peaks below May 12's 39°C extreme. Typical May highs average 31°C, with variability driven by harmattan fade and Atlantic moisture influx. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled hourly METAR reports could shift it, pending NiMet's final daily bulletin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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