Forecast models and current synoptic conditions in the eastern Mediterranean have positioned 29–30°C as the dominant outcomes for Tel Aviv’s June 14 maximum, aligning with the market’s 63% and 34% implied probabilities. Typical early-summer highs average near 29°C under the moderating influence of onshore Mediterranean flow, which caps inland heating when it arrives by late morning. Recent ensemble runs show limited deviation, with no strong easterly continental flow or Sharav-type event to push readings above 31°C. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and nearby stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, leaving little room for outliers given stable high pressure and light winds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 59%
29°C 41%
31°C 3.0%
32°C <1%
$20,204 Vol.
$20,204 Vol.
2026/06/14
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
41%
30°C
59%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 59%
29°C 41%
31°C 3.0%
32°C <1%
$20,204 Vol.
$20,204 Vol.
2026/06/14
27°C or below
$2,990 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,255 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,423 Vol.
41%
30°C
$2,007 Vol.
59%
31°C
$3,330 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,215 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and current synoptic conditions in the eastern Mediterranean have positioned 29–30°C as the dominant outcomes for Tel Aviv’s June 14 maximum, aligning with the market’s 63% and 34% implied probabilities. Typical early-summer highs average near 29°C under the moderating influence of onshore Mediterranean flow, which caps inland heating when it arrives by late morning. Recent ensemble runs show limited deviation, with no strong easterly continental flow or Sharav-type event to push readings above 31°C. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and nearby stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, leaving little room for outliers given stable high pressure and light winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$20,204終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and current synoptic conditions in the eastern Mediterranean have positioned 29–30°C as the dominant outcomes for Tel Aviv’s June 14 maximum, aligning with the market’s 63% and 34% implied probabilities. Typical early-summer highs average near 29°C under the moderating influence of onshore Mediterranean flow, which caps inland heating when it arrives by late morning. Recent ensemble runs show limited deviation, with no strong easterly continental flow or Sharav-type event to push readings above 31°C. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and nearby stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, leaving little room for outliers given stable high pressure and light winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20,204終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and current synoptic conditions in the eastern Mediterranean have positioned 29–30°C as the dominant outcomes for Tel Aviv’s June 14 maximum, aligning with the market’s 63% and 34% implied probabilities. Typical early-summer highs average near 29°C under the moderating influence of onshore Mediterranean flow, which caps inland heating when it arrives by late morning. Recent ensemble runs show limited deviation, with no strong easterly continental flow or Sharav-type event to push readings above 31°C. Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and nearby stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed, leaving little room for outliers given stable high pressure and light winds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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