New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日35未満 41%
55〜64 27%
65〜74 27%
35～44 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
35未満
41%
35～44
26%
45～54
25%
55〜64
27%
65〜74
27%
75〜84
12%
85以上
16%
35未満 41%
55〜64 27%
65〜74 27%
35～44 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
35未満
$1 Vol.
41%
35～44
$0 Vol.
26%
45～54
$0 Vol.
25%
55〜64
$1 Vol.
27%
65〜74
$0 Vol.
27%
75〜84
$100 Vol.
12%
85以上
$20 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
音量
$123終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$123終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...New People (NL) enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding 15 seats and seeking expansion via its approved federal list of 299 candidates plus 83 single-mandate nominees. Recent VCIOM and FOM polling places the party between roughly 8% and 15%, positioning it competitively among systemic opposition groups but behind United Russia and often close to CPRF and LDPR. Trader consensus across seat brackets remains tight because regional organizational capacity lags behind established rivals, single-mandate outcomes are variable under the mixed electoral system, and administrative factors in a managed multi-party framework can influence final seat allocation. Late-campaign polling shifts, turnout patterns among urban and younger voters, or adjustments in single-mandate contests could widen separation among the leading ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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