Kentucky’s 1st congressional district has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 74.7 percent margin for incumbent James Comer in 2024, which underpins the current 93.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. The district spans rural western and central Kentucky counties that have favored GOP candidates for more than a decade. With the Republican primary scheduled for May 19 featuring Comer and three challengers, and Democrat Drew Williams advancing unopposed from the canceled Democratic primary, the general election on November 3 remains the key resolution point. A late primary upset or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the district’s partisan composition continue to limit realistic paths for the Democratic candidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,055 Vol.
$18,055 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$18,055 Vol.
$18,055 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,175 Vol.
94%
民主党
$6,879 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 1st congressional district has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 74.7 percent margin for incumbent James Comer in 2024, which underpins the current 93.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. The district spans rural western and central Kentucky counties that have favored GOP candidates for more than a decade. With the Republican primary scheduled for May 19 featuring Comer and three challengers, and Democrat Drew Williams advancing unopposed from the canceled Democratic primary, the general election on November 3 remains the key resolution point. A late primary upset or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the district’s partisan composition continue to limit realistic paths for the Democratic candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$18,055終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 1st congressional district has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 74.7 percent margin for incumbent James Comer in 2024, which underpins the current 93.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. The district spans rural western and central Kentucky counties that have favored GOP candidates for more than a decade. With the Republican primary scheduled for May 19 featuring Comer and three challengers, and Democrat Drew Williams advancing unopposed from the canceled Democratic primary, the general election on November 3 remains the key resolution point. A late primary upset or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the district’s partisan composition continue to limit realistic paths for the Democratic candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,055終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky’s 1st congressional district has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 74.7 percent margin for incumbent James Comer in 2024, which underpins the current 93.5 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. The district spans rural western and central Kentucky counties that have favored GOP candidates for more than a decade. With the Republican primary scheduled for May 19 featuring Comer and three challengers, and Democrat Drew Williams advancing unopposed from the canceled Democratic primary, the general election on November 3 remains the key resolution point. A late primary upset or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, yet historical voting patterns and the district’s partisan composition continue to limit realistic paths for the Democratic candidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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