**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月14日のパリの最低気温は？
6月14日のパリの最低気温は？
13℃ 99.7%
11℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
12℃ <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
2026/06/14
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
100%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
13℃ 99.7%
11℃ <1%
10℃ <1%
12℃ <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
2026/06/14
9°C以下
$657 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$957 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$2,070 Vol.
1%
12℃
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$2,608 Vol.
100%
14℃
$789 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$852 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$12,364終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.**
Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,364終了日
2026/06/14マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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