Recent heavy rainfall, including Hong Kong Observatory's first black rainstorm warning of 2026 on June 8 with intense downpours, has driven cumulative June totals toward or above the long-term average of roughly 450 mm, positioning the 500 mm+ outcome as the clear market leader. The southwest monsoon and typical early-summer convective activity continue to favor frequent thunderstorms, while ENSO-neutral conditions and model guidance introduce uncertainty for the second half of the month. Traders weigh these observed extremes against the May seasonal outlook favoring normal to below-normal rainfall overall, with resolution hinging on any additional tropical systems or sustained monsoon surges through June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+ 62%
475-500mm 10%
375-400mm 7%
400-425mm 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
<350mm
4%
350-375mm
12%
375-400mm
7%
400-425mm
7%
425-450mm
6%
450-475mm
5%
475-500mm
10%
500mm+
62%
500mm+ 62%
475-500mm 10%
375-400mm 7%
400-425mm 7%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
<350mm
$449 Vol.
4%
350-375mm
$505 Vol.
12%
375-400mm
$456 Vol.
7%
400-425mm
$277 Vol.
7%
425-450mm
$315 Vol.
6%
450-475mm
$373 Vol.
5%
475-500mm
$471 Vol.
10%
500mm+
$758 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall, including Hong Kong Observatory's first black rainstorm warning of 2026 on June 8 with intense downpours, has driven cumulative June totals toward or above the long-term average of roughly 450 mm, positioning the 500 mm+ outcome as the clear market leader. The southwest monsoon and typical early-summer convective activity continue to favor frequent thunderstorms, while ENSO-neutral conditions and model guidance introduce uncertainty for the second half of the month. Traders weigh these observed extremes against the May seasonal outlook favoring normal to below-normal rainfall overall, with resolution hinging on any additional tropical systems or sustained monsoon surges through June 30.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
音量
$3,605終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall, including Hong Kong Observatory's first black rainstorm warning of 2026 on June 8 with intense downpours, has driven cumulative June totals toward or above the long-term average of roughly 450 mm, positioning the 500 mm+ outcome as the clear market leader. The southwest monsoon and typical early-summer convective activity continue to favor frequent thunderstorms, while ENSO-neutral conditions and model guidance introduce uncertainty for the second half of the month. Traders weigh these observed extremes against the May seasonal outlook favoring normal to below-normal rainfall overall, with resolution hinging on any additional tropical systems or sustained monsoon surges through June 30.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,605終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall, including Hong Kong Observatory's first black rainstorm warning of 2026 on June 8 with intense downpours, has driven cumulative June totals toward or above the long-term average of roughly 450 mm, positioning the 500 mm+ outcome as the clear market leader. The southwest monsoon and typical early-summer convective activity continue to favor frequent thunderstorms, while ENSO-neutral conditions and model guidance introduce uncertainty for the second half of the month. Traders weigh these observed extremes against the May seasonal outlook favoring normal to below-normal rainfall overall, with resolution hinging on any additional tropical systems or sustained monsoon surges through June 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問