Reza Pahlavi remains in exile in the United States while the Iranian government maintains institutional control through its security forces and clerical structures, despite U.S. and Israeli military actions that have strained leadership following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's reported death in early 2026. Pahlavi has focused on international advocacy, including his March 2026 CPAC address urging the Trump administration to back full regime change and his April 2026 Berlin press conference calling for external support of a democratic transition. He continues to engage Iranian diaspora communities and position himself as a potential interim figure, yet no verified security arrangements or official invitations for physical entry have emerged. Surveys show limited domestic backing amid opposition divisions, and U.S. officials have favored internal leadership over exiled figures. These dynamics keep trader consensus on a near-term return low, with any shift hinging on further escalations or negotiated power transitions before mid-2026 deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,504,378 Vol.
2026/06/30
5月31日
<1%
6月30日
3%
12月31日
14%
$18,504,378 Vol.
5月31日
$1,326,878 Vol.
<1%
6月30日
$4,484,499 Vol.
3%
12月31日
$1,508,332 Vol.
14%
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Reza Pahlavi remains in exile in the United States while the Iranian government maintains institutional control through its security forces and clerical structures, despite U.S. and Israeli military actions that have strained leadership following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's reported death in early 2026. Pahlavi has focused on international advocacy, including his March 2026 CPAC address urging the Trump administration to back full regime change and his April 2026 Berlin press conference calling for external support of a democratic transition. He continues to engage Iranian diaspora communities and position himself as a potential interim figure, yet no verified security arrangements or official invitations for physical entry have emerged. Surveys show limited domestic backing amid opposition divisions, and U.S. officials have favored internal leadership over exiled figures. These dynamics keep trader consensus on a near-term return low, with any shift hinging on further escalations or negotiated power transitions before mid-2026 deadlines.
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 3:06 AM ET
音量
$18,504,378終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 3:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Reza Pahlavi remains in exile in the United States while the Iranian government maintains institutional control through its security forces and clerical structures, despite U.S. and Israeli military actions that have strained leadership following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's reported death in early 2026. Pahlavi has focused on international advocacy, including his March 2026 CPAC address urging the Trump administration to back full regime change and his April 2026 Berlin press conference calling for external support of a democratic transition. He continues to engage Iranian diaspora communities and position himself as a potential interim figure, yet no verified security arrangements or official invitations for physical entry have emerged. Surveys show limited domestic backing amid opposition divisions, and U.S. officials have favored internal leadership over exiled figures. These dynamics keep trader consensus on a near-term return low, with any shift hinging on further escalations or negotiated power transitions before mid-2026 deadlines.
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$18,504,378終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 3:06 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Reza Pahlavi remains in exile in the United States while the Iranian government maintains institutional control through its security forces and clerical structures, despite U.S. and Israeli military actions that have strained leadership following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's reported death in early 2026. Pahlavi has focused on international advocacy, including his March 2026 CPAC address urging the Trump administration to back full regime change and his April 2026 Berlin press conference calling for external support of a democratic transition. He continues to engage Iranian diaspora communities and position himself as a potential interim figure, yet no verified security arrangements or official invitations for physical entry have emerged. Surveys show limited domestic backing amid opposition divisions, and U.S. officials have favored internal leadership over exiled figures. These dynamics keep trader consensus on a near-term return low, with any shift hinging on further escalations or negotiated power transitions before mid-2026 deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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