Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,810 거래량
$55,810 거래량
2026.05.16
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
90°F or higher 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$55,810 거래량
$55,810 거래량
2026.05.16
84-85°F
$2,542 거래량
<1%
86-87°F
$6,895 거래량
<1%
88-89°F
$7,177 거래량
<1%
90°F or higher
$8,620 거래량
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$55,810종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$55,810종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daily high temperature in Austin well above 90°F on May 16, driven by strong southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. This positioning reflects both the season’s typical late-spring climatology for central Texas and the absence of any significant frontal passages or cloud build-up in recent model runs. While historical May extremes occasionally reach the mid-90s, today’s implied probability near 100 percent for 90°F or higher rests on verified observational trends and short-range guidance showing minimal uncertainty in peak values. Only an unexpected surge of drier, northerly air or rapid afternoon convection could cap the high below that threshold, scenarios assigned negligible odds in the latest updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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