Official meteorological observations from Spain’s state weather service recorded a precise daily maximum of 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, locking the market-implied probability at 100 % for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge maintained clear skies and light northerly flow, suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures tightly clustered around the seasonal norm. Ensemble forecast guidance issued 24–48 hours ahead had already converged on this value, with minimal spread among models. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument calibration adjustment could reopen the market, both of which occur infrequently for established urban stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,934 거래량
$85,934 거래량
2026.05.16
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,934 거래량
$85,934 거래량
2026.05.16
20°C
$11,262 거래량
100%
21°C
$12,224 거래량
<1%
22°C
$10,365 거래량
<1%
23°C
$6,885 거래량
<1%
24°C
$6,168 거래량
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,529 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Spain’s state weather service recorded a precise daily maximum of 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, locking the market-implied probability at 100 % for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge maintained clear skies and light northerly flow, suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures tightly clustered around the seasonal norm. Ensemble forecast guidance issued 24–48 hours ahead had already converged on this value, with minimal spread among models. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument calibration adjustment could reopen the market, both of which occur infrequently for established urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$85,934종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Spain’s state weather service recorded a precise daily maximum of 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, locking the market-implied probability at 100 % for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge maintained clear skies and light northerly flow, suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures tightly clustered around the seasonal norm. Ensemble forecast guidance issued 24–48 hours ahead had already converged on this value, with minimal spread among models. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument calibration adjustment could reopen the market, both of which occur infrequently for established urban stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$85,934종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official meteorological observations from Spain’s state weather service recorded a precise daily maximum of 20 °C in Madrid on May 16, locking the market-implied probability at 100 % for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge maintained clear skies and light northerly flow, suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures tightly clustered around the seasonal norm. Ensemble forecast guidance issued 24–48 hours ahead had already converged on this value, with minimal spread among models. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument calibration adjustment could reopen the market, both of which occur infrequently for established urban stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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