PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 거래량
$31,524 거래량
2026.05.14
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 거래량
$31,524 거래량
2026.05.14
28°C or below
$1,486 거래량
No
29°C
$716 거래량
No
30°C
$671 거래량
No
31°C
$4,203 거래량
No
32°C
$5,273 거래량
No
33°C
$3,249 거래량
No
34°C
$5,240 거래량
Yes
35°C
$3,947 거래량
No
36°C
$2,941 거래량
No
37°C
$2,162 거래량
No
38°C or higher
$1,637 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
거래량
$31,524종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$31,524종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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