National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport projected a daily high of 88–89°F on May 16, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and typical late-spring humidity, establishing the dominant market consensus for that range. Official model runs showed minimal variability, with historical May climatology for the region centering near 87°F and only modest deviations expected from the prevailing ridge pattern. This evidence-based outlook translated directly into the 100% implied probability for 88–89°F, reflecting trader alignment with verified observational baselines and short-range guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted sea-breeze shift could have lowered the peak, though current conditions offered little support for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$85,427 거래량
$85,427 거래량
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$85,427 거래량
$85,427 거래량
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport projected a daily high of 88–89°F on May 16, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and typical late-spring humidity, establishing the dominant market consensus for that range. Official model runs showed minimal variability, with historical May climatology for the region centering near 87°F and only modest deviations expected from the prevailing ridge pattern. This evidence-based outlook translated directly into the 100% implied probability for 88–89°F, reflecting trader alignment with verified observational baselines and short-range guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unforecasted sea-breeze shift could have lowered the peak, though current conditions offered little support for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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