Illinois' 7th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan voting index and history of lopsided victories—including a 66-point margin in 2024—positions Democratic nominee La Shawn Ford as the commanding favorite following his March primary win as retiring Rep. Danny Davis's endorsed successor. Traders' 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects the district's reliable blue performance in presidential and midterm cycles, Ford's fundraising edge, and perennial weak Republican challengers like nominee Chad Koppie. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to structural advantages. Realistic shifts would require a late scandal hitting Ford, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican wave altering battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,127 거래량
$17,127 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
3%
$17,127 거래량
$17,127 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$3,783 거래량
94%
공화당
$13,344 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 7th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan voting index and history of lopsided victories—including a 66-point margin in 2024—positions Democratic nominee La Shawn Ford as the commanding favorite following his March primary win as retiring Rep. Danny Davis's endorsed successor. Traders' 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects the district's reliable blue performance in presidential and midterm cycles, Ford's fundraising edge, and perennial weak Republican challengers like nominee Chad Koppie. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to structural advantages. Realistic shifts would require a late scandal hitting Ford, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican wave altering battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$17,127종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 7th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan voting index and history of lopsided victories—including a 66-point margin in 2024—positions Democratic nominee La Shawn Ford as the commanding favorite following his March primary win as retiring Rep. Danny Davis's endorsed successor. Traders' 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects the district's reliable blue performance in presidential and midterm cycles, Ford's fundraising edge, and perennial weak Republican challengers like nominee Chad Koppie. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to structural advantages. Realistic shifts would require a late scandal hitting Ford, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican wave altering battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$17,127종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois' 7th Congressional District, with its strong Democratic partisan voting index and history of lopsided victories—including a 66-point margin in 2024—positions Democratic nominee La Shawn Ford as the commanding favorite following his March primary win as retiring Rep. Danny Davis's endorsed successor. Traders' 93.5% implied probability for Democrats reflects the district's reliable blue performance in presidential and midterm cycles, Ford's fundraising edge, and perennial weak Republican challengers like nominee Chad Koppie. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds anchored to structural advantages. Realistic shifts would require a late scandal hitting Ford, abnormally low Democratic turnout, or a national Republican wave altering battleground dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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