Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a D+2 seat where she has secured reelection victories of 53 to 55 percent in each of the last three cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge, with the Democratic Party priced at 88.5 percent to retain the seat ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Davids benefits from strong fundraising, name recognition, and a suburban Johnson County base that has consistently supported her over Republican challengers. The Republican primary between Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley has not produced a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race into competitive territory. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome highly likely to favor Democrats barring an unexpected primary upset or late national shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,282 거래량
$12,282 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
$12,282 거래량
$12,282 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,876 거래량
89%
Republican Party
$9,406 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a D+2 seat where she has secured reelection victories of 53 to 55 percent in each of the last three cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge, with the Democratic Party priced at 88.5 percent to retain the seat ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Davids benefits from strong fundraising, name recognition, and a suburban Johnson County base that has consistently supported her over Republican challengers. The Republican primary between Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley has not produced a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race into competitive territory. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome highly likely to favor Democrats barring an unexpected primary upset or late national shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$12,282종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a D+2 seat where she has secured reelection victories of 53 to 55 percent in each of the last three cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge, with the Democratic Party priced at 88.5 percent to retain the seat ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Davids benefits from strong fundraising, name recognition, and a suburban Johnson County base that has consistently supported her over Republican challengers. The Republican primary between Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley has not produced a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race into competitive territory. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome highly likely to favor Democrats barring an unexpected primary upset or late national shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,282종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sharice Davids holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a D+2 seat where she has secured reelection victories of 53 to 55 percent in each of the last three cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge, with the Democratic Party priced at 88.5 percent to retain the seat ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Davids benefits from strong fundraising, name recognition, and a suburban Johnson County base that has consistently supported her over Republican challengers. The Republican primary between Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley has not produced a high-profile contender capable of shifting the race into competitive territory. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the outcome highly likely to favor Democrats barring an unexpected primary upset or late national shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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