Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 14일 런던 최저 기온?
5월 14일 런던 최저 기온?
8°C 100.0%
1°C 이하 <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$11,526 거래량
$11,526 거래량
2026.05.14
1°C 이하
아니오
2°C
아니오
3°C
아니오
4°C
아니오
5°C
아니오
6°C
아니오
7°C
아니오
8°C
예
9°C
아니오
10°C
아니오
11°C 이상
아니오
8°C 100.0%
1°C 이하 <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$11,526 거래량
$11,526 거래량
2026.05.14
1°C 이하
$396 거래량
아니오
2°C
$575 거래량
아니오
3°C
$551 거래량
아니오
4°C
$658 거래량
아니오
5°C
$1,281 거래량
아니오
6°C
$937 거래량
아니오
7°C
$844 거래량
아니오
8°C
$2,773 거래량
예
9°C
$783 거래량
아니오
10°C
$646 거래량
아니오
11°C 이상
$2,083 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
거래량
$11,526종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$11,526종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Official Met Office observations for London stations, including Greater London and nearby references like Heathrow, confirm a minimum screen temperature of 8°C on May 14, 2026, primarily recorded during early morning hours amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds that suppressed radiative cooling overnight. Hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing around 7–9°C pre-dawn after evening readings in the mid-teens Celsius, aligning with forecast model consensus from the UKV and ECMWF ensembles predicting mild lows for urban London under these synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 8°C reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with historical May norms (average min ~9°C) providing further context. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc revision from quality-controlled archives or an overlooked rural station reading below 7°C, though urban heat island effects and cloud insulation make sub-6°C unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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