Met Office's latest forecast pins London's minimum temperature on May 15 at 7°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus from UKV and ECMWF that anticipates persistent low cloud and light north-westerly winds curbing nocturnal radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution station. This positioning, with traders assigning 98.9% implied probability, stems from this morning's update shifting from earlier 5-6°C runs amid stabilizing high pressure and urban heat island effects—typical for mid-May when historical lows average 8°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening clearing allowing sharper infrared losses to 6°C, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable; hourly observations will clarify as the night progresses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 런던 최저 기온?
5월 15일 런던 최저 기온?
7°C 98.8%
6°C 1.6%
3°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,681 거래량
$15,681 거래량
2026.05.15
-1°C 이하
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
99%
7°C 98.8%
6°C 1.6%
3°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,681 거래량
$15,681 거래량
2026.05.15
-1°C 이하
$1,522 거래량
<1%
0°C
$216 거래량
<1%
1°C
$381 거래량
<1%
2°C
$872 거래량
<1%
3°C
$699 거래량
1%
4°C
$430 거래량
<1%
5°C
$1,025 거래량
<1%
6°C
$892 거래량
2%
7°C
$1,604 거래량
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast pins London's minimum temperature on May 15 at 7°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus from UKV and ECMWF that anticipates persistent low cloud and light north-westerly winds curbing nocturnal radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution station. This positioning, with traders assigning 98.9% implied probability, stems from this morning's update shifting from earlier 5-6°C runs amid stabilizing high pressure and urban heat island effects—typical for mid-May when historical lows average 8°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening clearing allowing sharper infrared losses to 6°C, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable; hourly observations will clarify as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
거래량
$15,681종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast pins London's minimum temperature on May 15 at 7°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus from UKV and ECMWF that anticipates persistent low cloud and light north-westerly winds curbing nocturnal radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution station. This positioning, with traders assigning 98.9% implied probability, stems from this morning's update shifting from earlier 5-6°C runs amid stabilizing high pressure and urban heat island effects—typical for mid-May when historical lows average 8°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening clearing allowing sharper infrared losses to 6°C, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable; hourly observations will clarify as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$15,681종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:06 PM ETMet Office's latest forecast pins London's minimum temperature on May 15 at 7°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus from UKV and ECMWF that anticipates persistent low cloud and light north-westerly winds curbing nocturnal radiative cooling at London City Airport, the market's resolution station. This positioning, with traders assigning 98.9% implied probability, stems from this morning's update shifting from earlier 5-6°C runs amid stabilizing high pressure and urban heat island effects—typical for mid-May when historical lows average 8°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected evening clearing allowing sharper infrared losses to 6°C, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable; hourly observations will clarify as the night progresses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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