Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district and faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The northeastern Mississippi district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter composition and historical patterns in U.S. House contests. With no significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican outcome. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MS-01 House Election Winner
MS-01 House Election Winner
$109,228 거래량
$109,228 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$109,228 거래량
$109,228 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$78,131 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$31,097 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district and faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The northeastern Mississippi district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter composition and historical patterns in U.S. House contests. With no significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican outcome. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$109,228종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district and faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The northeastern Mississippi district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter composition and historical patterns in U.S. House contests. With no significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican outcome. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$109,228종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 1st congressional district and faces Democrat Cliff Johnson in the November general election. The northeastern Mississippi district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting its voter composition and historical patterns in U.S. House contests. With no significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican outcome. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national performance could narrow the gap, though structural factors in the district limit the scope for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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