Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's commanding lead in trader consensus for Mississippi's 1st Congressional District House race stems from his unchallenged path through the March 10 Republican primary and the district's longstanding Solid Republican rating, where he has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles, including 2024. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-profile primary, but lacks the fundraising or polling to threaten in this northern Mississippi battleground historically favoring GOP incumbents by wide margins. With no major developments since primaries two months ago, markets reflect entrenched partisan leanings and historical base rates for safe seats. Upsets could arise from a Kelly scandal, Democratic national midterm wave, or unexpected Johnson surge via endorsements or turnout, though barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$105,411 거래량
$105,411 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
6%
$105,411 거래량
$105,411 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$77,078 거래량
95%
민주당
$28,333 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's commanding lead in trader consensus for Mississippi's 1st Congressional District House race stems from his unchallenged path through the March 10 Republican primary and the district's longstanding Solid Republican rating, where he has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles, including 2024. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-profile primary, but lacks the fundraising or polling to threaten in this northern Mississippi battleground historically favoring GOP incumbents by wide margins. With no major developments since primaries two months ago, markets reflect entrenched partisan leanings and historical base rates for safe seats. Upsets could arise from a Kelly scandal, Democratic national midterm wave, or unexpected Johnson surge via endorsements or turnout, though barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$105,411종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's commanding lead in trader consensus for Mississippi's 1st Congressional District House race stems from his unchallenged path through the March 10 Republican primary and the district's longstanding Solid Republican rating, where he has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles, including 2024. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-profile primary, but lacks the fundraising or polling to threaten in this northern Mississippi battleground historically favoring GOP incumbents by wide margins. With no major developments since primaries two months ago, markets reflect entrenched partisan leanings and historical base rates for safe seats. Upsets could arise from a Kelly scandal, Democratic national midterm wave, or unexpected Johnson surge via endorsements or turnout, though barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$105,411종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's commanding lead in trader consensus for Mississippi's 1st Congressional District House race stems from his unchallenged path through the March 10 Republican primary and the district's longstanding Solid Republican rating, where he has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles, including 2024. Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson advanced from a low-profile primary, but lacks the fundraising or polling to threaten in this northern Mississippi battleground historically favoring GOP incumbents by wide margins. With no major developments since primaries two months ago, markets reflect entrenched partisan leanings and historical base rates for safe seats. Upsets could arise from a Kelly scandal, Democratic national midterm wave, or unexpected Johnson surge via endorsements or turnout, though barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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