Persistent deadlock in US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment levels remains the primary driver keeping the implied probability of a comprehensive nuclear agreement by June 30 at just 20.5 percent. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected curbs on enrichment activities, while recent US proposals for a short-term moratorium or framework memorandum have failed to resolve core differences on inspection regimes and sanctions relief. With talks stalled after earlier rounds in February and March 2026, and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, traders assess limited time remains for the parties to bridge gaps before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,862,157 거래량
$1,862,157 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$1,862,157 거래량
$1,862,157 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent deadlock in US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment levels remains the primary driver keeping the implied probability of a comprehensive nuclear agreement by June 30 at just 20.5 percent. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected curbs on enrichment activities, while recent US proposals for a short-term moratorium or framework memorandum have failed to resolve core differences on inspection regimes and sanctions relief. With talks stalled after earlier rounds in February and March 2026, and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, traders assess limited time remains for the parties to bridge gaps before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$1,862,157종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent deadlock in US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment levels remains the primary driver keeping the implied probability of a comprehensive nuclear agreement by June 30 at just 20.5 percent. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected curbs on enrichment activities, while recent US proposals for a short-term moratorium or framework memorandum have failed to resolve core differences on inspection regimes and sanctions relief. With talks stalled after earlier rounds in February and March 2026, and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, traders assess limited time remains for the parties to bridge gaps before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$1,863,682종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent deadlock in US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment levels remains the primary driver keeping the implied probability of a comprehensive nuclear agreement by June 30 at just 20.5 percent. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected curbs on enrichment activities, while recent US proposals for a short-term moratorium or framework memorandum have failed to resolve core differences on inspection regimes and sanctions relief. With talks stalled after earlier rounds in February and March 2026, and no major diplomatic breakthroughs in the past month, traders assess limited time remains for the parties to bridge gaps before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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