Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,598 Wol.
$292,598 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,598 Wol.
$292,598 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$89,458 Wol.
100%
28°C
$45,410 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,999 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$292,598Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$292,598Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward that outcome. This aligns with mid-May climatology under the influence of a stable subtropical high-pressure system and moderate humidity levels that typically cap peaks in the upper 20s Celsius across the region. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent South China Sea provided supporting warmth without triggering stronger convective activity or monsoon onset that could have pushed readings higher. While model ensembles had shown minor variability in humidity forecasts, the observed conditions produced a firm one-degree bin resolution. Only an unexpected revision to official station data or a localized microclimate anomaly at the primary measurement site could realistically alter the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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