Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,898 Wol.
$262,898 Wol.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,898 Wol.
$262,898 Wol.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$38,077 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$103,041 Wol.
100%
26°C
$52,906 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$24,323 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$12,476 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$262,898Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$262,898Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daytime maximum of 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture that sustains cloud cover under a moist easterly flow. This setup limits surface heating relative to climatological May averages of 28–31°C, producing the cooler anomaly reflected in the near-certain market-implied odds for 25°C. Official resolution depends on Observatory measurements at the designated station, with modest uncertainty tied to the exact timing of any rainfall. A clearer sky or delayed precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model consensus currently shows limited potential for such shifts before peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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