Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,344 Wol.
$41,344 Wol.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,344 Wol.
$41,344 Wol.
May 16, 2026
15°C or below
$1,053 Wol.
No
16°C
$674 Wol.
No
17°C
$430 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,413 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,134 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,929 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,729 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,051 Wol.
No
23°C
$3,653 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,728 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$17,549 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,344Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$41,344Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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