Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service models converge on a 20–22 °C peak at Istanbul Airport on May 18 under weak high-pressure ridging, placing the market’s leading 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes in a tight 57 % consensus. Mid-May climatology supports this range with an average high near 21 °C, while the Bosphorus sea breeze and lingering marine air moderate afternoon heating. Slight model spread arises from uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could briefly push readings to 23 °C, whereas increased low stratus would cap the maximum at 19 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through May 17 evening will refine the final distribution before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
20°C 31%
21°C 27%
19°C 23%
22°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
14%
19°C
23%
20°C
31%
21°C
27%
22°C
18%
23°C or higher
9%
20°C 31%
21°C 27%
19°C 23%
22°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$215 Wol.
1%
14°C
$323 Wol.
1%
15°C
$45 Wol.
1%
16°C
$386 Wol.
1%
17°C
$421 Wol.
12%
18°C
$119 Wol.
14%
19°C
$0 Wol.
23%
20°C
$0 Wol.
31%
21°C
$0 Wol.
27%
22°C
$76 Wol.
18%
23°C or higher
$52 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service models converge on a 20–22 °C peak at Istanbul Airport on May 18 under weak high-pressure ridging, placing the market’s leading 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes in a tight 57 % consensus. Mid-May climatology supports this range with an average high near 21 °C, while the Bosphorus sea breeze and lingering marine air moderate afternoon heating. Slight model spread arises from uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could briefly push readings to 23 °C, whereas increased low stratus would cap the maximum at 19 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through May 17 evening will refine the final distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,637Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service models converge on a 20–22 °C peak at Istanbul Airport on May 18 under weak high-pressure ridging, placing the market’s leading 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes in a tight 57 % consensus. Mid-May climatology supports this range with an average high near 21 °C, while the Bosphorus sea breeze and lingering marine air moderate afternoon heating. Slight model spread arises from uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could briefly push readings to 23 °C, whereas increased low stratus would cap the maximum at 19 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through May 17 evening will refine the final distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,637Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble runs from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service models converge on a 20–22 °C peak at Istanbul Airport on May 18 under weak high-pressure ridging, placing the market’s leading 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes in a tight 57 % consensus. Mid-May climatology supports this range with an average high near 21 °C, while the Bosphorus sea breeze and lingering marine air moderate afternoon heating. Slight model spread arises from uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could briefly push readings to 23 °C, whereas increased low stratus would cap the maximum at 19 °C. Updated short-range guidance and surface observations through May 17 evening will refine the final distribution before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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