Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 21%
23°C or higher 13.5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
21%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 21%
23°C or higher 13.5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$442 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$770 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,115 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$791 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,695 Wol.
1%
18°C
$1,084 Wol.
1%
19°C
$731 Wol.
4%
20°C
$264 Wol.
21%
21°C
$402 Wol.
33%
22°C
$304 Wol.
26%
23°C or higher
$692 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,288Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,288Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul’s daytime maximum on May 18 will likely fall between 20°C and 22°C, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C maintained by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Mild southerly flow advecting warmer continental air across the Marmara region, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, creates the narrow spread among these outcomes, with minor differences in timing of any passing showers or breaks in sunshine determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of the range. Historical data show that May temperature variability in Istanbul often stems from subtle shifts in the position of the subtropical ridge and local sea-breeze effects, leaving traders sensitive to the next model update or observational tweak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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