Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 15%
23°C or higher 14.1%
NOWE
$10,152 Wol.
NOWE
$10,152 Wol.
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
15%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 15%
23°C or higher 14.1%
NOWE
$10,152 Wol.
NOWE
$10,152 Wol.
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$589 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$844 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,124 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$810 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,704 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,212 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,042 Wol.
5%
20°C
$493 Wol.
15%
21°C
$514 Wol.
33%
22°C
$444 Wol.
31%
23°C or higher
$1,375 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,152Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$10,152Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania