Current meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$159,344 Wol.
$159,344 Wol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$159,344 Wol.
$159,344 Wol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCCurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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