The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$27,411 Wol.
$27,411 Wol.
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$27,411 Wol.
$27,411 Wol.
May 16, 2026
41°C or below
$5,576 Wol.
Yes
42°C
$3,198 Wol.
No
43°C
$4,526 Wol.
No
44°C
$1,598 Wol.
No
45°C
$3,732 Wol.
No
46°C
$3,075 Wol.
No
47°C
$757 Wol.
No
48°C
$935 Wol.
No
49°C
$1,813 Wol.
No
50°C
$776 Wol.
No
51°C or higher
$1,424 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$27,411Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$27,411Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The market-implied probability of 100% for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 16 reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a maximum around 41°C, backed by recent observations showing daily highs of 37–39°C—well below seasonal norms. These subdued readings stem from persistent cloud cover and moisture influx that have limited daytime heating across northern India, consistent with current model consensus from the IMD and global ensembles. Historical May averages for Lucknow hover near 39–40°C, so today’s conditions represent a notable cool anomaly. The outcome could shift only if rapid clearing and intensified insolation push readings above the threshold before official verification closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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