National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 Wol.
$85,772 Wol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 Wol.
$85,772 Wol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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