Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations recorded a daily high of exactly 20°C on May 16, establishing the dominant market outcome. Stable high-pressure systems and clear skies supported this moderate peak, falling within the typical mid-May climatological range of 15–22°C for the region. Forecasters note that light southerly winds and minimal moisture prevented further warming, aligning with model consensus from regional analyses. While the current consensus reflects verified data with little room for revision, alternative outcomes remain possible only if post-event quality checks at secondary stations reveal slight discrepancies or if updated homogenization methods adjust the official figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$57,463 Wol.
$57,463 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$57,463 Wol.
$57,463 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations recorded a daily high of exactly 20°C on May 16, establishing the dominant market outcome. Stable high-pressure systems and clear skies supported this moderate peak, falling within the typical mid-May climatological range of 15–22°C for the region. Forecasters note that light southerly winds and minimal moisture prevented further warming, aligning with model consensus from regional analyses. While the current consensus reflects verified data with little room for revision, alternative outcomes remain possible only if post-event quality checks at secondary stations reveal slight discrepancies or if updated homogenization methods adjust the official figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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