Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime temperatures in Moscow will peak between 24°C and 26°C on May 17, with an easterly flow and possible light rain limiting further warming. Numerical weather models show stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and no strong southerly advection that could push readings higher, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on a 26°C maximum. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making this seasonably elevated but within recent climatological variability. A sudden shift in steering winds or delayed cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 27°C, though current model runs assign low probability to such outcomes before official measurements close the day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,722 Wol.
$44,722 Wol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,722 Wol.
$44,722 Wol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$2,252 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$4,335 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$4,878 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$6,198 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$6,853 Wol.
100%
27°C
$5,539 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,119 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime temperatures in Moscow will peak between 24°C and 26°C on May 17, with an easterly flow and possible light rain limiting further warming. Numerical weather models show stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and no strong southerly advection that could push readings higher, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on a 26°C maximum. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making this seasonably elevated but within recent climatological variability. A sudden shift in steering winds or delayed cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 27°C, though current model runs assign low probability to such outcomes before official measurements close the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,722Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime temperatures in Moscow will peak between 24°C and 26°C on May 17, with an easterly flow and possible light rain limiting further warming. Numerical weather models show stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and no strong southerly advection that could push readings higher, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on a 26°C maximum. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making this seasonably elevated but within recent climatological variability. A sudden shift in steering winds or delayed cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 27°C, though current model runs assign low probability to such outcomes before official measurements close the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,722Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime temperatures in Moscow will peak between 24°C and 26°C on May 17, with an easterly flow and possible light rain limiting further warming. Numerical weather models show stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and no strong southerly advection that could push readings higher, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on a 26°C maximum. Historical May averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making this seasonably elevated but within recent climatological variability. A sudden shift in steering winds or delayed cloud cover could allow brief spikes to 27°C, though current model runs assign low probability to such outcomes before official measurements close the day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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