Recent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
$62,222 Wol.
$62,222 Wol.
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
$62,222 Wol.
$62,222 Wol.
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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