Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,791 Wol.
$19,791 Wol.
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,791 Wol.
$19,791 Wol.
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
$1,647 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$1,820 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$1,737 Wol.
100%
15°C
$1,073 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$888 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$850 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$2,719 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$3,145 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$3,283 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,818 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$812 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,791Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$19,791Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITraders have converged overwhelmingly on 14°C as Seoul’s lowest temperature for May 17, driven by real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration showing overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecast models align on a minimum near this value, consistent with typical mid-May climatology where Seoul’s average daily low ranges 13–15°C. Current surface pressure patterns and dew-point readings further reinforce the expected nighttime dip without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. While urban heat-island effects or minor measurement timing variations could theoretically nudge the official reading by one degree, the tight clustering of verified station data and model consensus leaves scant probability for outcomes outside 14°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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