Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 Wol.
$11,079 Wol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 Wol.
$11,079 Wol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$776 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$626 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$563 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$934 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$901 Wol.
1%
19°C
$2,045 Wol.
99%
20°C
$2,433 Wol.
1%
21°C
$913 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$528 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$583 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$778 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,079Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,079Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDForecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight low of 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, directly supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, shaped by East Asian monsoon maritime air and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could nudge readings slightly higher, while a passing weak trough or enhanced sea-breeze advection might trim the low by one degree. Traders monitor the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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