Recent meteorological data and ensemble forecast models from regional monitoring agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C in Ankara today, supporting the market's overwhelming consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Anatolian plateau typically features daytime highs near 21–22°C under stable spring conditions, yet current atmospheric patterns, including moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating, have kept surface temperatures from exceeding this level. Traders appear to weigh official station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, which resolve markets based on precise daily maxima. A rapid shift in wind patterns or localized warming could theoretically push readings higher, though model agreement through the evening window makes such outcomes improbable.