Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 19, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture influx that suppress further intensification. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 42°C or below, reflecting climatological norms for mid-May where daily highs typically range 39–42°C absent active pre-monsoon disturbances. Short-range models show minimal day-to-day variability, with any potential uptick limited by expected light winds and partial cloud cover. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and satellite-derived temperature trends for signs of deviation, as resolution hinges on the official recorded high at the Lucknow observatory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 19 мая?
42°C or below 80%
43°C 12%
44°C 6%
45°C 1.0%
42°C or below
80%
43°C
12%
44°C
6%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 80%
43°C 12%
44°C 6%
45°C 1.0%
42°C or below
80%
43°C
12%
44°C
6%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
1%
52°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 19, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture influx that suppress further intensification. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 42°C or below, reflecting climatological norms for mid-May where daily highs typically range 39–42°C absent active pre-monsoon disturbances. Short-range models show minimal day-to-day variability, with any potential uptick limited by expected light winds and partial cloud cover. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and satellite-derived temperature trends for signs of deviation, as resolution hinges on the official recorded high at the Lucknow observatory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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