Latest operational forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models lock in a daytime maximum of 16°C across Paris on May 16, supported by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keep surface temperatures near or below the seasonal norm. This consensus drives the market-implied near-certainty for 16°C, consistent with cooler-than-average May conditions where highs typically fall 1–2°C below the 18°C climatological baseline. Official Météo-France station readings at Paris-Montsouris or Charles de Gaulle will finalize the outcome later today. The only realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon clearing and stronger insolation, an outcome ensemble members assign very low probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 16 мая?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,735 Объем
$154,735 Объем
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,735 Объем
$154,735 Объем
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest operational forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models lock in a daytime maximum of 16°C across Paris on May 16, supported by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and suppressed solar heating that keep surface temperatures near or below the seasonal norm. This consensus drives the market-implied near-certainty for 16°C, consistent with cooler-than-average May conditions where highs typically fall 1–2°C below the 18°C climatological baseline. Official Météo-France station readings at Paris-Montsouris or Charles de Gaulle will finalize the outcome later today. The only realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon clearing and stronger insolation, an outcome ensemble members assign very low probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы