Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s May 17 daily maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A broad Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong warm-air advection from the south while allowing modest daytime heating beneath broken stratocumulus, keeping peak readings just above the May climatological mean of 18 °C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; any increase in insolation could push the high to 17 °C, while persistent low cloud would cap it at 15 °C. With these two outcomes holding 81.5 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific range between current model consensus and the small but non-zero chance of a late-day clearing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 17 мая?
16°C 42%
15°C 40%
17°C 12%
14°C 3.6%
НОВОЕ
$44,340 Объем
НОВОЕ
$44,340 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
40%
16°C
42%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
15°C 40%
17°C 12%
14°C 3.6%
НОВОЕ
$44,340 Объем
НОВОЕ
$44,340 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
$1,110 Объем
<1%
11°C
$1,367 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,600 Объем
<1%
13°C
$3,274 Объем
1%
14°C
$6,493 Объем
4%
15°C
$5,530 Объем
40%
16°C
$5,532 Объем
42%
17°C
$4,753 Объем
12%
18°C
$4,505 Объем
2%
19°C
$7,037 Объем
1%
20°C or higher
$3,230 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s May 17 daily maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A broad Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong warm-air advection from the south while allowing modest daytime heating beneath broken stratocumulus, keeping peak readings just above the May climatological mean of 18 °C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; any increase in insolation could push the high to 17 °C, while persistent low cloud would cap it at 15 °C. With these two outcomes holding 81.5 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific range between current model consensus and the small but non-zero chance of a late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$44,340Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s May 17 daily maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A broad Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong warm-air advection from the south while allowing modest daytime heating beneath broken stratocumulus, keeping peak readings just above the May climatological mean of 18 °C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; any increase in insolation could push the high to 17 °C, while persistent low cloud would cap it at 15 °C. With these two outcomes holding 81.5 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific range between current model consensus and the small but non-zero chance of a late-day clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$44,340Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s May 17 daily maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. A broad Atlantic ridge is suppressing strong warm-air advection from the south while allowing modest daytime heating beneath broken stratocumulus, keeping peak readings just above the May climatological mean of 18 °C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; any increase in insolation could push the high to 17 °C, while persistent low cloud would cap it at 15 °C. With these two outcomes holding 81.5 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific range between current model consensus and the small but non-zero chance of a late-day clearing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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