Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain driving southerly warm advection and ample afternoon insolation, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station. This setup favors above-normal warmth for mid-May, when historical highs average 22–25 °C, yet the market’s close clustering between 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C or higher reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, minor cloud cover, or boundary-layer wind shifts that could alter the reading by one degree. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential late-day stabilization, with fresh JMA updates expected to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 17 мая?
29°C 34%
30°C or higher 33%
28°C 27%
27°C 10%
$37,350 Объем
$37,350 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
33%
29°C 34%
30°C or higher 33%
28°C 27%
27°C 10%
$37,350 Объем
$37,350 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain driving southerly warm advection and ample afternoon insolation, positioning Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station. This setup favors above-normal warmth for mid-May, when historical highs average 22–25 °C, yet the market’s close clustering between 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C or higher reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing, minor cloud cover, or boundary-layer wind shifts that could alter the reading by one degree. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential late-day stabilization, with fresh JMA updates expected to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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