Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C for Toronto on May 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40 % chance of light showers developing in the afternoon. These conditions reflect typical mid-May lake-effect moderation from Lake Ontario, which caps peak temperatures even when regional air masses trend mildly above seasonal norms of 18 °C. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential due to stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow, keeping the probability of reaching 23 °C or higher below 20 %. Trader consensus has therefore coalesced around the 20–22 °C cluster, with the 21 °C outcome holding the clearest edge as resolution draws near at midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 74%
22°C 20%
23°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$109,886 Объем
$109,886 Объем
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
74%
22°C
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 74%
22°C 20%
23°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$109,886 Объем
$109,886 Объем
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
74%
22°C
20%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C for Toronto on May 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40 % chance of light showers developing in the afternoon. These conditions reflect typical mid-May lake-effect moderation from Lake Ontario, which caps peak temperatures even when regional air masses trend mildly above seasonal norms of 18 °C. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential due to stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow, keeping the probability of reaching 23 °C or higher below 20 %. Trader consensus has therefore coalesced around the 20–22 °C cluster, with the 21 °C outcome holding the clearest edge as resolution draws near at midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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