Recent forecast model runs from Environment Canada and supporting ensembles place Toronto’s May 17 high near 23–24 °C, with 24 °C currently commanding the largest share of trader probability. A southwesterly flow is expected to advect mild air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, while partial cloud cover and modest winds limit further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to keep the 23 °C and 25 °C contracts active, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology for mid-May shows average highs near 19 °C, so the current setup represents a positive anomaly driven by the persistent ridge. Updated guidance overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 17 мая?
24°C 36%
23°C 24%
25°C 20%
22°C 10%
$13,111 Объем
$13,111 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
36%
25°C
20%
26°C
7%
27°C или выше
3%
24°C 36%
23°C 24%
25°C 20%
22°C 10%
$13,111 Объем
$13,111 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
24%
24°C
36%
25°C
20%
26°C
7%
27°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecast model runs from Environment Canada and supporting ensembles place Toronto’s May 17 high near 23–24 °C, with 24 °C currently commanding the largest share of trader probability. A southwesterly flow is expected to advect mild air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, while partial cloud cover and modest winds limit further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to keep the 23 °C and 25 °C contracts active, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology for mid-May shows average highs near 19 °C, so the current setup represents a positive anomaly driven by the persistent ridge. Updated guidance overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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