Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on May 15, establishing a strong scientific consensus that aligns with the market-implied odds. This value reflects typical subtropical spring conditions in the region, where stable high-pressure systems and southeasterly flow often produce overnight lows in the mid-20s with limited influence from cooler northerly winds or heavy rainfall. Historical climatological baselines for mid-May show average minima near 24–26°C, consistent with the verified reading across urban and airport stations. While minor post-processing adjustments to station data remain theoretically possible, the agreement among multiple monitoring sites makes significant revisions unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 99.9%
18°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,931 Объем
$63,931 Объем
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.9%
18°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,931 Объем
$63,931 Объем
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on May 15, establishing a strong scientific consensus that aligns with the market-implied odds. This value reflects typical subtropical spring conditions in the region, where stable high-pressure systems and southeasterly flow often produce overnight lows in the mid-20s with limited influence from cooler northerly winds or heavy rainfall. Historical climatological baselines for mid-May show average minima near 24–26°C, consistent with the verified reading across urban and airport stations. While minor post-processing adjustments to station data remain theoretically possible, the agreement among multiple monitoring sites makes significant revisions unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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