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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?

25°C 99.9%

18°C или ниже <1%

23°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$63,931 Объем

25°C 99.9%

18°C или ниже <1%

23°C <1%

26°C <1%

Polymarket

$63,931 Объем

18°C или ниже

$2,541 Объем

<1%

19°C

$2,325 Объем

<1%

20°C

$2,398 Объем

<1%

21°C

$2,288 Объем

<1%

22°C

$3,899 Объем

<1%

23°C

$5,193 Объем

<1%

24°C

$12,257 Объем

<1%

25°C

$8,673 Объем

100%

26°C

$12,015 Объем

<1%

27°C

$8,229 Объем

<1%

28°C or higher

$4,112 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on May 15, establishing a strong scientific consensus that aligns with the market-implied odds. This value reflects typical subtropical spring conditions in the region, where stable high-pressure systems and southeasterly flow often produce overnight lows in the mid-20s with limited influence from cooler northerly winds or heavy rainfall. Historical climatological baselines for mid-May show average minima near 24–26°C, consistent with the verified reading across urban and airport stations. While minor post-processing adjustments to station data remain theoretically possible, the agreement among multiple monitoring sites makes significant revisions unlikely.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$63,931
Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily minimum of 25°C on May 15, establishing a strong scientific consensus that aligns with the market-implied odds. This value reflects typical subtropical spring conditions in the region, where stable high-pressure systems and southeasterly flow often produce overnight lows in the mid-20s with limited influence from cooler northerly winds or heavy rainfall. Historical climatological baselines for mid-May show average minima near 24–26°C, consistent with the verified reading across urban and airport stations. While minor post-processing adjustments to station data remain theoretically possible, the agreement among multiple monitoring sites makes significant revisions unlikely.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$63,931
Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25°C» с 100%, за ним следует «18°C или ниже» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $63.9K с момента запуска рынка May 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?» — «25°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «18°C или ниже» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.