Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the area’s strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 71.5 percent victory in 2024. The June 2026 primaries left Latimer unopposed on the Democratic side and produced Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani without a contested primary, while nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus on platforms pricing the Democratic nominee near 95 percent aligns with these fundamentals, including limited Republican fundraising and the district’s voter composition across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter outcomes before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-16
$41,135 Объем
$41,135 Объем
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
2%
$41,135 Объем
$41,135 Объем
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in New York’s 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, backed by the area’s strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 71.5 percent victory in 2024. The June 2026 primaries left Latimer unopposed on the Democratic side and produced Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani without a contested primary, while nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus on platforms pricing the Democratic nominee near 95 percent aligns with these fundamentals, including limited Republican fundraising and the district’s voter composition across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing could still alter outcomes before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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